Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 177.093977 203.971957 234.358794 271.416341 315.602600 366.864599 431.218616
2025-10-05 146.849159 183.013268 227.940822 288.517117 369.068865 473.942193 623.205055
2025-10-12 128.946285 169.713739 223.821615 302.246955 415.304973 576.036930 828.643230
2025-10-19 112.010407 153.621562 211.703782 300.759029 437.643250 646.672688 1003.556774
2025-10-26 102.099386 145.180883 208.057110 309.463148 474.753929 744.590521 1243.308152
2025-11-02 93.214080 136.706521 202.668216 313.858459 504.796244 835.908694 1494.482886
2025-11-09 86.133879 129.878218 198.566454 319.136379 536.456277 935.452875 1787.331314
2025-11-16 79.074194 122.136171 191.831488 318.616106 557.245450 1018.658314 2070.646151
2025-11-23 72.950297 115.160787 185.388836 317.411746 576.125240 1101.473980 2377.447107
2025-11-30 68.358057 110.198755 181.693556 320.482236 603.505273 1207.103534 2770.928101
2025-12-07 62.030135 101.623059 170.684982 308.144793 597.380920 1238.805876 2989.945316
2025-12-14 57.750658 96.215917 164.773150 304.874818 609.669973 1314.644914 3352.780179
2025-12-21 53.995500 91.792458 160.932164 306.828294 637.511376 1443.510189 3949.541786
2025-12-28 52.642370 91.663580 165.294598 326.804664 711.709763 1713.071955 5129.110829
2026-01-04 50.896341 90.575629 167.604892 342.729029 780.169576 1991.264417 6516.083408
2026-01-11 47.558120 86.057289 162.444745 341.003058 803.796711 2150.289575 7569.124235
2026-01-18 45.647980 84.140178 162.391686 351.103932 861.153196 2432.516768 9336.120907
2026-01-25 43.475513 81.467104 160.401213 356.207536 906.117857 2692.784665 11226.459922
2026-02-01 41.574604 79.159327 158.921264 362.338578 955.781128 2989.956374 13581.454922
2026-02-08 39.341939 75.944036 155.055304 361.734083 985.194009 3226.753637 15854.783075
2026-02-15 37.252085 72.844771 151.114978 360.334866 1012.037258 3466.458948 18420.843687
2026-02-22 35.660646 70.683074 149.111422 363.902429 1056.303954 3798.529618 22024.697647
2026-03-01 33.097887 66.173418 141.109771 349.573514 1036.729891 3849.728377 23671.033559